| Paper | Title/topic | Notes |
|---|
| | |
| Bryan et al. 2007 | "Mapping the Cosmological Confidence Ball Surface" | |
| Importance sampling | The method is very important for speeding-up simulations. Description of the method can be found on-line, or in resources suggested by RP. It would be good to show simple working example. |
| Speagle 2019 | "A Conceptual Introduction to Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods" | Other concepts are also discussed: importance sampling, effective sample size, approximating posterior integrals with grids |
| Vitale 2020 | "One, No One, and One Hundred Thousand -- Inferring the properties of a population in presence of selection effects" | Pedagogical introduction to hierarchical Bayesian inference in presence of selection effects; gravitational waves as an example |
| Hogg and Forman-Mackey 2017 | "Data analysis recipes: Using Markov chain Monte Carlo" | Good MCMC introduction that has problems to be solved by the reader; discusses convergence, parametrizations etc. |
| LIGO and Virgo 2020 | "Population Properties of Compact Objects from the Second LIGO-Virgo Gravitational-Wave Transient Catalog" | gravitational waves - statistical analysis of O3 run that considers a few different models |
| Student project | Student can present what statistical analysis they work on, even if it's not finished. It's likely that other participants will give useful suggestions |
| Hsu, Ford, et al. 2018 | "Improving the Accuracy of Planet Occurrence Rates from Kepler Using Approximate Bayesian Computation" | |
| Schwarzenberg-Czerny 1996 | "An astronomer's guide to period searching" | short |
| probability distributions used for priors | discussion of different probability distributions that are used for priors: beta, Jeffreys, modified Jeffreys etc. |
| Scargle et al. 2013 | " Studies in Astronomical Time Series Analysis. VI. Bayesian Block Representations" | completely new method |
| Zechmeister and Kurster 2009 | "The generalised Lomb-Scargle periodogram. A new formalism for the floating-mean and Keplerian periodograms" | |
| Hogg, Bovy and Lang 2020 | "Data analysis recipes: Fitting a model to data" | many probelms, e.g., removing outliers or 2D uncertainties; excersices for the reader |
| Curran 2014 | "Monte Carlo error analyses of Spearman's rank test" | short one |
| Stobie, Ishida and Peacock 1989 | "Distance errors and the stellar luminosity function." | |
| Koshimoto and Bennett 2020 | "Evidence of Systematic Errors in Spitzer Microlens Parallax Measurements" | seems to use method similar to V/Vmax |
| Tsutomou et al. 2022 | NEW - "High Dimensional Statistical Analysis and its Application to ALMA Map of NGC 253" | noise-reduction principal component analysis (NRPCA) and regularized principal component analysis (RPCA) used; suggested by Kasia Małek |
| Date and speaker | Paper/Topic | Links |
|---|
| | |
| | |
| 9.06.2022, M. Kiraga | Salvato et al. 2018 "Finding counterparts for all-sky X-ray surveys with NWAY: a Bayesian algorithm for cross-matching multiple catalogues" | slides |
| 19.05.2022, M. Gromadzki | Kuhn and Feigelson 2017 "Mixture Models in Astronomy" | slides |
| 5.05.2022, K. Iłkiewicz | Francis and Wills 1999 "Introduction to Principal Components Analysis" | slides |
| 21.04.2022, M. Ban | Udalski et al. 2018 "OGLE-2017-BLG-1434Lb: Eighth q<1e-4 Mass-Ratio Microlens Planet Confirms Turnover in Planet Mass-Ratio Function" | slides |
| 31.03.2022, M. Ratajczak | Schwarzenberg-Czerny 1989 "On the advantage of using analysis of variance for period search." | slides |
| 17.03.2022, R. Poleski | Foreman-Mackey, Hogg and Morton 2014 "Exoplanet Population Inference and the Abundance of Earth Analogs from Noisy, Incomplete Catalogs" | slides |
| 3.03.2022, P. Mróz | Hogg, Myers, and Bovy 2010 "Inferring the Eccentricity Distribution" | notes |
| 11.01.2022, M. Jabłońska | Andrae 2010 "Error estimation in astronomy: A guide" | slides, github code |
| 14.12.2021, P. Szewczyk | Hogg 2008 "Data analysis recipes: Choosing the binning for a histogram" | slides, code |
| 30.11.2021, K. Kruszyńska | Bailer-Jones et al. 2021 " Estimating Distances from Parallaxes. V. Geometric and Photogeometric Distances to 1.47 Billion Stars in Gaia Early Data Release 3" | slides |
| 16.11.2021, J. Skowron | Introduction to MCMC - part 3 | |
| 9.11.2021, J. Skowron | Introduction to MCMC - part 2 | |
| 26.10.2021, J. Skowron | Introduction to MCMC - part 1 | |
| | |
| 11.6.2021, D. Skowron | VanderPlas and Ivezic 2015 "Periodograms for Multiband Astronomical Time Series" | slides | |
| 21.5.2021, M. Kiraga | Gould 2013 "The Most Precise Extra-Galactic Black-Hole Mass Measurement" | slides | |
| 14.5.2021, J. Skowron | UltraNest package - based on Buchner (2021) and Buchner (2021) | slides |
| 23.4.2021, Sz. Kozłowski | Quasar variability based on 1, 2, 3, and 4 | slides |
| 9.4.2021, K. Kruszyńska | "Bayesian Approach for Determining Microlens System Properties with High-angular-resolution Follow-up Imaging" Koshimoto, Bennett, and Suzuki 2020 | slides |
| 26.3.2021, R. Poleski | "Quantifying the Bayesian Evidence for a Planet in Radial Velocity Data" Nelson et al. 2020 | slides |
| 12.3.2021, M. Gromadzki | "Astrophysical Sources of Statistical Uncertainty in Precision Radial Velocities and Their Approximations" Beatty and Gaudi 2015 | slides |
| 14.1.2021, M. Ratajczak | "The Joker: A Custom Monte Carlo Sampler for Binary-star and Exoplanet Radial Velocity Data" Price-Whelan et al. 2017 | slides |
| 7.1.2021, P. Zieliński | "Detecting extrasolar planets from stellar radial velocities using Bayesian evidence" Feroz et al. 2011 | slides |
| 10.12.2020, R. Poleski | "Multimodal nested sampling: an efficient and robust alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for astronomical data analyses" Feroz and Hobson 2008 | slides, code, data |
| 26.11.2020, Ł. Wyrzykowski | "Dos and don'ts of reduced chi-squared" Andrae et al. 2010 | slides |
| 19.11.2020, J. Skowron | Introduction to MCMC | slides, more slides, code 1, code 2, data |
| 29.10.2020, R. Poleski | Bayes' theorem and related concepts | slides |